Over the course of the last two NFL offseasons, big-name franchise quarterbacks have left the teams that teams that drafted them for new homes.
In both cases, those moves paid off as Tom Brady and Matthew Stafford both went on to win the Super Bowl during their first seasons away from New England and Detroit, respectively.
Will that trend continue if past Super Bowl winners Aaron Rodgers or Russell Wilson move this offseason? There’s no way to know at this point, but it certainly appears as if one or both star quarterbacks could have new homes by the fall.
Based on odds from offshore sportsbook Sportsbetting.ag, oddsmakers think that Rodgers (+400) and Wilson (+350) both have a decent shot to end up on the Buccaneers if they leave their current teams. Wilson being listed as the favorite to land in Tampa Bay jibes with a report from the NFL Network’s James Palmer that the Buccaneers have done a “ton of work” to potentially acquire the 33-year-old from the Seattle Seahawks.
For Rodgers, the Broncos (+300) and 49ers (+350) are the odds-on favorites to land his services next season should he leave the Packers with the Titans somehow coming in as long shots at +1,600 despite the fact that the 38-year-old is in the process of having a house built in the suburbs outside Nashville.
The Steelers (+500 for Rodgers and +400 for Wilson) are also in play for both quarterbacks.
Of course, the most likely scenario for next season is that both quarterbacks stay put. It would take some manipulation, but the Packers could find a way to re-sign top wide receiver Davante Adams and using the franchise tag on him is always an option. If Green Bay does that, Rodgers would certainly be more inclined to try and make things work for at least one more season. For Wilson in Seattle, the main issue has been a shoddy offensive line and a lack of creativity and freedom on offense. However, he was also injured last season and many of the offensive issues the Seahawks had may have been related to a lack of practice reps and continuity amongst Seattle’s first-team offense. Last season was also the first time the Seahawks finished with a record below .500 since Wilson joined the team. They’ll want to keep him.
“I don’t know what motivates Rodgers at this stage of his life. Maybe it goes beyond football, and the thought of trying out something new is appealing to him. Or maybe he’ll sit back and decide he just wants to retire. But if it’s about having another chance at a title and/or continuing to add to an all-time individual career, Green Bay still seems like the most attractive option,” Sheil Kapadia writes for The Athletic. “Wilson is 33 and under contract for two more years. The Seahawks still have Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf as viable weapons. And like the Packers, they’re in a conference with no clear favorite for 2022. Maybe Wilson’s frustrations will boil over and the Seahawks will be blown away by a trade offer. But more likely, there will be rumors and drama that eventually die down, and they’ll run it back with Wilson in 2022.”
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